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New Prediction
Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?

Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-5%)
Yes
100%
(+5%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-8%)
Yes
100%
(+8%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files

New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
1%
(-2%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files