Confirmed previous forecast
0.003868
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
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| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
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Why might you be wrong?
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
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Why might you be wrong?
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-5%)
Yes
100%
(+5%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-8%)
Yes
100%
(+8%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
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New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
1%
(-2%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files