RFornaro

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Jan 3, 2022 01:44PM What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021? 0.03747
    Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)? -0.151161
    Jun 1, 2021 06:44PM Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021? -0.000683
    Apr 10, 2021 03:56AM How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.38151
    Mar 7, 2021 09:22PM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? -0.082
    Feb 5, 2021 05:35PM What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020? -0.011079
    Nov 3, 2020 05:49PM Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020? 1.219243
    Nov 3, 2020 02:25PM Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020? 0.639009
    Oct 20, 2020 01:16PM How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? 0.001886
    Oct 15, 2020 04:00AM Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020? -0.042589
    Oct 1, 2020 02:37PM What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? 0.18428
    Oct 1, 2020 04:00AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020? 0.017539
    Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020? -0.038621
    Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020? -0.330362
    Sep 1, 2020 01:31PM Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020? -0.026223
    Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive? -0.084662
    Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020? -0.008136
    Aug 1, 2020 03:59AM Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020? 0.901444
    Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020? 0.004108
    Jul 10, 2020 02:04PM Will the Executive Branch delay implementation of any part of Section 889, Part B, of the 2018 National Defense Authorization Act by July 17, 2020? -0.011406
     
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