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Definitions |
Why do you think you're right?
Sudan has given indications that an agreement normalizing diplomatic relations between itself and Israel is a likely outcome for this year. Firstly, Sudan is a signatory of the Abraham Accords, which already sets out to normalize relations with Israel. A representative from Sudan also recently attended a conference held by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs in Israel with the main topic of conversation being how Israel and Sudan, amongst other countries in the Middle East, can work together to solve some of the predominant issues in the region. However, the probability is not at 100% because of the volatility of the region and how quickly matters can change between March and December of this year.
Why might you be wrong?
The forecast may be wrong if Sudan's government is overthrown by an actor less eager to better relations between itself and Israel. Also, non-state actors could try and spoil any chance for a bilateral normalization agreement between the two countries.