| Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 05:00AM | Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023? | 0.078838 |
| Jan 1, 2023 05:00AM | Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022? | 0.315824 |
| Dec 6, 2022 08:00PM | Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022) | 0.036567 |
| Dec 3, 2022 10:00PM | Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022) | 0.004697 |
| Nov 6, 2022 08:00PM | Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022) | 0.008181 |
| Nov 3, 2022 10:00PM | Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022) | 0.00031 |