0.003561
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1
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As Putin can be reelected until 2036, I can see 2 major and 1 minor arguments that would make him ceased to be president:
- He dies – he is 70 years old.
- Because of the Ukrainian war, people don’t want him anymore as a president.
- The Russian Federation stops to be a Russian Federation but changes name, potentially also having him as an emperer. Including potentially Ukraine – but the war is still going on.
He doesn’t seem sick, and the Russian propaganda seems to work very well when you hear about the Russian TV shows, and Russian people. But, the winter is coming, and the war might be harder for both parts. My guess is that if Putin lost the war, he can’t stay as a president, because there has been too many lost soldiers, and because of the cause they are fighting ‘the nazis’, so losing would mean let the power to the nazis. On another hand, the war could end with a deal, for example with a deal that Ukraine won’t be part of NATO. That would be a kin