Little incentive for a near term agreement.
0.001332
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 24, 2023 04:59PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Dec 24, 2022 to Jan 24, 2023
Not enough time for this much of a shift.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes
Rate of infection is getting worse, not better.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
Despite some increase in domestic satisfaction, he retains strong domestic support, and aggressively squelches dissent. Slight possibility of a coup, or death by natural or other causes.
Files
They will become members, but not before the Summit.