alifit

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 Definitions
New Prediction
alifit
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
19%
Less than 200 billion
13%
More than or equal to 200 billion but less than 300 billion
14%
More than or equal to 300 billion but less than 400 billion
17%
More than or equal to 400 billion but less than 500 billion
37%
More than or equal to 500 billion
Why do you think you're right?

Chinese are the biggest circuit producers. There are many IC companies head branches in China. So it will not be a big deal to produce billions and billions circuits in a year.

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Why might you be wrong?

I may be wrong cause there are many worldwide difficulties they may face. Like: Raw materials shortage, pandemic etc. For this reason it will affect the production problems.

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

He is the dictator resident. I don't think he will back down from his power.

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Why might you be wrong?

I may be not wrong until 2036.

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

He is the dictator resident. So I don't he will back down from his political power.

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Why might you be wrong?

I don't think I am wrong until 2036.

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New Prediction
alifit
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jan 30, 2023 06:00PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
Yes
Dec 30, 2022 to Jan 30, 2023
Why do you think you're right?

Yes, his rating will be dropped, if he can not manage the armies who are doing war in Ukraine. Because it will affect his superiority. He can make anyone agree that he is the best ruler if he loses the war in Ukraine.

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Why might you be wrong?

If Putin's plans work perfectly, everyone will fear him. Everyone will take him as a powerful ruler. So it will affect his rating. By seeing his superiority, his rating will increase.

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alifit
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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alifit
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Because European union is really facing inflation. Because of sanctions, thier economic situation is not stable. They are facing energy crisis. So it is a high chance that they will remove the sanctions.

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Why might you be wrong?

Because they care about humanity. So it is obvious that for the human being they will not bow down to Russia. Russia is doing a war crime. So they are taking it seriously.

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