WeirdAwkward

About:
Show more

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 0 0 37
Comments 0 0 0 0 42
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 6
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 21
 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Luna 25 crashed. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

The news papers are wrong. 

Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Manipur had serious conflicts this year, where even ammunition meant for the government was stolen. Fortunately, the deaths caused by those events haven't even breached 500, let alone the figure of 1000. I know of no other brewing event that has this potential. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?
I haven't been able to predict violence outbreaks in India very well. It may very well be that an armed conflict in India of monumental scale breaks up in the next 9 days. 
Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Luna 25 is going to launch soon. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

The launch may not be successful. 

Files
New Badge
WeirdAwkward
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
WeirdAwkward
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

This is an initial hunch. I'll revise it soon. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

It is based on a hunch. Not based on data. So, obviously, it is wrong.

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
WeirdAwkward
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username