Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
---|---|---|
Apr 5, 2023 07:14PM | Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023) | -0.000344 |
Feb 1, 2023 06:46PM | Will the European Unionβs economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023? | 0.003455 |
Jan 1, 2023 05:00AM | Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022? | 0.00679 |