johnfogle

About:
Show more

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 0 0 2
Comments 0 0 0 0 1
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 2
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 1
 Definitions
New Badge
johnfogle
earned a new badge:

Upvotes Received

New Badge
johnfogle
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

What @Kel_vin said: "France24:- Israel expects to fully normalise ties with Sudan sometime later this year, Israel's foreign minister said on Thursday, after returning from a lightning diplomatic mission to the Sudanese capital"

Files
Why might you be wrong?

What @Kel_vin said: "There is still a 30% chances that this won't happen because the country's second-in-command, Gen. Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, who heads a powerful paramilitary known as the Rapid Support Forces, claimed that he had no knowledge of the visit and did not meet with the Israeli delegation. [France24 line 13]"

Files
New Badge
johnfogle
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
johnfogle
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

There are no expected elections prior to March of 2024. Putin has been thorough with ensuring a more compliant inner circle. Outside of an assassination, Putin will likely remain as the Russian President *at least* until March 2024.

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username