Passage of time.
-0.002394
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 123 | 47 | 357 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 29 | 9 | 50 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(-4%)
Yes
92%
(+4%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
12%
(-3%)
Yes
88%
(+3%)
No
Passage of time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-5%)
Yes
85%
(+5%)
No
Passage of time.
Files
New Prediction
peregrine
quit this question on Sep 24, 2024 07:05PM
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
1%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
99%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
peregrine
quit this question on Sep 24, 2024 07:04PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 23, 2024 to Feb 23, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(-6%)
Yes
80%
(+6%)
No
Passage of time.
Files
Passage of time