Alec_V_Hill

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0.629459

Relative Brier Score

1

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0

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

I do not think that China will launch more orbital rockets than the US in January 2023 because they are currently dealing with instability in their own country due to the very strict covid policies that have now been relaxed, so they will be focusing more on their internal security rather than space.

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Why might you be wrong?

The weather and climate in China would be more conducive for rocket launches in January than the US.

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ben
made a comment:
@Alec_V_Hill - it seems like your forecast is the opposite of your rationale. Did you mean to forecast a much lower probability that China would launch more?
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