It seems that the current price is around $200, and I feel it is unlikely and unrealistic that the price will be cut in half in under 5 months.
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5%
Yes
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Why might you be wrong?
Technology is advancing rapidly, and it may be entirely possible that it will be able to be sequenced in a cheaper manner by that time.
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Russia's voting systems are extremely biased and unfair in favor of Putin. It is highly unlikely that the will of the people would be recognized in a free and fair election