Confirmed previous forecast
0.333442
Relative Brier Score
11
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-49%)
Yes
no signs of dropping
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
deep learning is accelerating genome sequencing
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Genetic research has not been able to be directly introduced into clinical diagnostics, so genome sequencing is more needed by researchers than by the market.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
The pace of artificial intelligence development is accelerating, so more research will emerge than in the past three years
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I'm not sure what the company's recent attitude towards AI research is
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
(+64%)
Less than $4.60
1%
(-54%)
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80
0%
(-10%)
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $5.20
the tendency is going down
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-59%)
Japan
0%
(-80%)
South Korea
1%
(-49%)
Any other country not listed
there is no info suggesting that any countries will join it
Files
Why do you think you're right?
1) regulation making takes time and there is no tendency to build up complete ban towards OpenAI's model;
2) products using OpenAI's model will increase. Market's interest will be considered by government
Why might you be wrong?
If OpenAI's model is proved to be a threaten of information security or something will violate countries' interest