Lovelymike

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0.726245

Relative Brier Score

1

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1

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Lovelymike
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Mar 16, 2024 06:27PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
60%
Yes
Feb 16, 2024 to Aug 16, 2024
40%
No
Feb 16, 2024 to Aug 16, 2024

Israel and Saudi Arabia wouldn't have started talking in the first place without a very good rationale - that being they're stronger against Iran than separated.  Religion plays a very important part here but they were both very careful to avoid any appearance of talking about that.

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I can't see any country providing fighter jets to Ukraine any time soon because it would be too easy to over fly Russian / Belarus territory which would escalate everything 

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