Vitor-Jacoponi-de-Moura

Vitor Jacoponi de Moura
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-0.032461

Relative Brier Score

1

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0

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No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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Forecasts 0 0 1 1 4
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 Definitions
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Top Forecaster - Feb 2024

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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 29, 2024 11:44PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Jan 31, 2024 to Feb 29, 2024
90%
No
Jan 31, 2024 to Feb 29, 2024

After Israel actions against Yemen. Hezbollah is unlikely to join the conflict. 

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Heramb_42
made a comment:
Just to make sure I understand this, this is because of Hezbollah fearing the same treatment as Yemen got?
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Top Forecaster of the Month - Jan 2024

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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 30, 2023 11:09AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2023 to Nov 30, 2023

Neither Isreal nor the US want a cease fire. Meaning that any UN decision can be vetoed by the US, and Bibi's current government is not willing to do a ceasefire. 

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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 16, 2023 05:27PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Oct 16, 2023 to Nov 16, 2023

There will no peace in the short term. It was the most violent attack by hamas in half a century. The current right wing government has the popular support to destroy Gaza.


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