Confirmed previous forecast
-0.000404
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
3
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
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Kuwait
0%
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Oman
0%
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Qatar
25%
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Saudi Arabia
0%
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Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Imran Khan will not be elected if Pakistan is progressing based on teh current accommodative western economic stance. The IMF working on the debts of Pakistan for the 33rd time and on June 29,2023 it was reported that the IMF Reached a Staff-level Agreement with Pakistan on a US$3 billion Stand-By Arrangement. For this reason, I believe that default for the country is off the table and Imran will not need to be the disruptive force against western policies as long as the economic status quo is kept. https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2023/06/30/pr23251-imf-reaches-staff-level-agreement-with-pakistan-on-a-us-3-billion-stand-by-arrangement
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@TuttleVentures1 hello, interesting aproach: quote "Imran Khan will not be elected if Pakistan is progressing based on teh current accommodative western economic stance. " end of quote.
would you agree that besides the reason you provided, his recent imprisionment could also be a strong one for him not to be re elected? best regards.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Kuwait
0%
Oman
0%
Qatar
25%
Saudi Arabia
0%
Tunisia
Saudi Arabia is looking to derisk away from its dependence on oil for its primary economy and diversify into other economic productive strategies. One of those is gamewashing- which includes purchasing US sports teams which are incredibly lucrative business ventures. Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud is progressive, I think there is a chance.
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Welcome to the game! I upvoted and followed you based on your "gamewashing" insight. I hope you will forecast many more questions, especially given that the only two forecasts you have made both received upvotes.
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New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
Yes, Microsoft announced a significant update to Windows 11 on February 28th, 2023 featuring an array of features that harness the power of AI and improve the way people get things done on their PC. The new Bing is powered by ChatGPT and AI technology12. Over 1 million people signed up to try the new search engine within 48 hours2. Full availability of the new features will be delivered in March 2023 via the monthly security update release3. According to Microsoft blog The new Bing is available today in a limited preview on desktop, and everyone can visit Bing.com today to try sample queries and sign up for the waitlist. We’re going to scale the preview to millions in the coming weeks. A mobile experience will also be in preview soon.
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