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New Prediction
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
The time window is extremely small at this stage. It seems that labelling images is way easier compared to text-based posts. Moreover, some posts can have an element of AI assistence (e.g. grammar, improved wording, ...) that is only beneficial to the readers. This means that the potential for false positives (in case the goal is to limit the spread of malicious AI fuelled messaging) much higher.
Why might you be wrong?
It is possible that some process could be under way, but I think at this stage it would be leaked (e.g. through discussions with the community, experts, ...) in some way, as it has a major impact on the very large user bases of these social platforms.