Confirmed previous forecast
0.39448
Relative Brier Score
50
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | 68 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
55%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
5%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-2%)
Yes
99%
(+2%)
No
Updating due to remaining time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
As we see, Putin is president
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
Yes
1%
No
Pressure on Johnson is obvious. Whoever do this, it can do anything
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
5%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files