Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
---|---|---|
May 1, 2024 04:01AM | Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024? | 0.069468 |
Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM | Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023? | 0.001042 |
Nov 1, 2023 04:01AM | Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive? | 0.002771 |
Sep 12, 2023 09:00PM | Will a new song with AI-generated vocals be streamed over 10 million times on Spotify before 1 June 2024? | 0.615279 |
Jul 11, 2023 01:00PM | Will Sweden become a full member of NATO before the NATO Summit in July 2023? | -0.008238 |