Comment deleted on Apr 30, 2024 03:34AM UTC
0.068932
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 30, 2024 03:33AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
90%
Yes
Apr 30, 2024 to Oct 30, 2024
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 29, 2024 11:41PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
40%
Yes
Jan 31, 2024 to Feb 29, 2024
60%
No
Jan 31, 2024 to Feb 29, 2024
Basically because it is not in Israeli and American interest to have this war to spillover to the region, but things can change once we are dealing with Benjamin Netanyahu and his instinct of political survival.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
I believe that a moon mission will safely land on the moon between 1 September 2023 and 31 May 2024 because this is a current project and active goal of many private and public actors. India has recently succesfully landed a spacecraft on the moon, joining USA, Russia, and China, and this trend seems to be rising.
Files
I don't think Iran would back down on its nuclear development facing a potential regional conflict with Israel.