Legislative systems aren't agile enough to do it that quickly.
1.267338
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
They will see it as too restrictive.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
Yes
60%
No
Guess
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Unlikely
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than 4 million
0%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0%
More than or equal to 6 million
I've never heard of it!
Files
New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
Yes
40%
No
Guess
Files