Is all about timing, the more privacy issues, unauthentic behaviors, misinformation and disinformation attempts using AI the more the will establish regulatory measures.
5.457414
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
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Definitions |
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
if News media organization want to maintain credibility, then need to adopt technology that allow the users receive reliable content.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
the model creates unauthentic behavior by generating content and accounts.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
The whole idea of digital provenance is to filter misinformation and disinformation with reliable and truthful content..
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than 4 million
0%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0%
More than or equal to 6 million
Slow rolling. Issues trusting digitalization of personal data.
Files
New Badge
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
Why do you think you're right?
They already working with technology to identify unauthentic behavior. Is a matter of time of when will it happen?.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Timing or AI technology that surpasses the detection tech.
Files