Confirmed previous forecast
1.11491
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
The war has not gone well for Russia and I'm quite confident the war will end this summer. Putin will be the one to blame, quite rightly so, and he needs to go. One way or another.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Should the war in Ukraine take a turn in favor of Russia, Putin will rule in Russia for as long as he lives.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
I think it's very important for the Russian government to proceed with this mission as scheduled and planned since the war in Ukraine isn't going as well as they'd wish. The moon mission will bring with it positive publicity and hope for a better future development.
Files
Comment deleted on Aug 20, 2023 05:20PM UTC