Forecasted Questions
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2024 06:17PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Aug 07, 2024 06:17PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuwait | 2% | 2% | +1% | +0% |
| Oman | 2% | 2% | +0% | +0% |
| Qatar | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 5% | 3% | +2% | -1% |
| Tunisia | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2024 06:30PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Aug 07, 2024 06:30PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana | 0% | 3% | -3% | -2% |
| Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells | 0% | 4% | -4% | -3% |
| Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo | 0% | 1% | -1% | -1% |
| Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |