Too soon
0.12922
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
Quite old guy
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than 7%
0%
More than or equal to 7% but less than 12%
100%
More than or equal to 12% but less than 17%
0%
More than or equal to 17% but less than 22%
0%
More than or equal to 22%
Attacking is hard
Files
New Badge
Why do you think you're right?
It is easy
Why might you be wrong?
Won’t happen