71st
Accuracy Rank

CCR3596

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0.171146

Relative Brier Score

10

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 9 5 15
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 7 5 11
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
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CCR3596
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
CCR3596
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 26, 2024 05:49PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
65%
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
35%
No
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
The African continent has seen a plethora of violence and instability recently. I believe this will spread to another African nation in the next 6 months, 02/15/2025.
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earned a new badge:

Questions Forecasted

For forecasting on 10 questions!
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CCR3596
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
CCR3596
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Sep 29, 2024 05:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
40%
Yes
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
60%
No
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
China has increasingly patrolled the waters around Taiwan recently, and Xi Jinping also sees that Taiwan is a part of mainland. They have been building up bases in the paracels and other islands, all this points to a very high likelihood that they will invade by February of next year.
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earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Putin has changed the constitution to keep himself in power. He wants to hold onto power more than anything else.

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CCR3596
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
No, the Russians have managed to kill many my people in the capital city of Kiev and the deadliest attack was half that, 53. I highly doubt the Russians will want a response from a deadly attack that would kill that many people.
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CCR3596
earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Mar 2024

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
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