smiley-shark-55

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0.27282

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 0 0 1
Comments 0 0 0 0 1
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 1
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
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smiley-shark-55
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
smiley-shark-55
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3%
Less than or equal to 24
20%
Between 25 and 34, inclusive
44%
Between 35 and 44, inclusive
30%
Between 45 and 54, inclusive
3%
More than or equal to 55
Why do you think you're right?

The three month rolling sum has been between 30 and 50 for the past year. It's been a little higher in that range. The trend for the past several years has been going up overall.

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Why might you be wrong?

I have no inside knowledge or expertise. I haven't put a lot of time into making this forecast.

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