Confirmed previous forecast
-0.001598
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
![](https://assets.randforecastinginitiative.org/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
![](https://assets.randforecastinginitiative.org/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
5%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Files
![](https://assets.randforecastinginitiative.org/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
![](https://assets.randforecastinginitiative.org/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 12, 2024 09:43PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
6%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
94%
(0%)
No
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
![](https://assets.randforecastinginitiative.org/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 12, 2024 09:43PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
![](https://assets.randforecastinginitiative.org/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 12, 2024 09:43PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
6%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
![](https://assets.randforecastinginitiative.org/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
5%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
![](https://assets.randforecastinginitiative.org/assets/v18/feed_ui/feed_icons/prediction-set-feed-icon-c20403995d0d38c8cd1cb81c4ad59f33954a9d9f7573b8faedbf36f3f2e9c577.png)
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Iraq and Iran are religiously so different that they won't cooperate