Too much conflcit
0.109297
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
Yes
92%
No
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 12, 2024 09:43PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
6%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
94%
(0%)
No
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
It will cause too much conflict
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
93%
(+32%)
Yes
7%
(-32%)
No
Because there is a lot more research and money put into space exploration
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 10, 2023 10:02PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
6%
Yes
Nov 10, 2023 to May 10, 2024
94%
No
Nov 10, 2023 to May 10, 2024
I think it will cause too much conflict
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
37%
(0%)
Less than 7%
59%
(0%)
More than or equal to 7% but less than 12%
4%
(0%)
More than or equal to 12% but less than 17%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 17% but less than 22%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 22%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Status quo is 18%. You might wish to adjust to that.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
61%
(0%)
Yes
39%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Because he doesn’t want to not have powrr