Forecasted Questions
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 24, 2024 05:30PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jul 24, 2024 05:30PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2024 06:39AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Nov 18, 2024 06:39AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 59 | 0% | 1% | -1% | -1% |
| Between 60 and 69, inclusive | 8% | 8% | +1% | -4% |
| Between 70 and 79, inclusive | 27% | 27% | +0% | +0% |
| Between 80 and 89, inclusive | 39% | 37% | +2% | +2% |
| More than or equal to 90 | 26% | 27% | -1% | +3% |