Confirmed previous forecast
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
7
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
57%
(0%)
Angola
40%
(0%)
Kenya
75%
(0%)
Ethiopia
16%
(0%)
Nigeria
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
76%
(0%)
Argentina
57%
(0%)
Bolivia
24%
(0%)
Ecuador
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
19%
(0%)
Togo
71%
(0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
57%
Angola
40%
Kenya
75%
Ethiopia
16%
Nigeria
Why do you think you're right?
African countries are not great at maintaining no debt
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Not too familiar with this region
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
76%
Argentina
57%
Bolivia
24%
Ecuador
Why do you think you're right?
Argentina has a lot of debt
Files
Why might you be wrong?
You don't really know sometimes what will happen
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
19%
(0%)
Togo
71%
(0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
There's been some recent progress
Why might you be wrong?
Because you never know with how unpredictable Putin is