Because of the conflict in Israel/Palestine
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Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 28, 2024 06:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
79%
Yes
Jan 28, 2024 to Jan 28, 2025
21%
No
Jan 28, 2024 to Jan 28, 2025
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My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 23, 2023 10:58PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
Yes
Oct 23, 2023 to Nov 23, 2023
Why do you think you're right?
I think that if the Israeli offensive is as brutal as is forecasted, then Hamas will likely try to end the crisis quite quickly.
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Why might you be wrong?
Israel, even in a dominant position, may not be interested in a ceasefire and instead want total domination.
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cause conflict in Israel/Palestine