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Hugo-Zhan

Hugo Zhan
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-0.00129

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 1 0 1
Comments 0 0 1 0 1
Questions Forecasted 0 0 1 0 1
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction
Hugo-Zhan
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 7, 2023 01:30AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Nov 7, 2023 to May 7, 2024
99%
No
Nov 7, 2023 to May 7, 2024
Why do you think you're right?

I hope not

Files
Why might you be wrong?

If they do then I’m wrong

Files
VRL
made a comment:
Hi @hugo-zhan! Thanks for making your first forecast on INFER. I’d be interested to hear some more details of your thoughts on this question. Would you mind explaining a bit more why you think Iran will not launch missiles or conduct an airstrike?
Files
New Badge
Hugo-Zhan
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
Hugo-Zhan
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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