LLMs developing very quickly
1.097348
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Wold need to double
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
31%
Yes
69%
No
Lots of failures and setbacks lately
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes
His opposition appears to be pretty insignificant
Files
Very hard to get progress on these types of issues from commercial companies