Forecasted Questions
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2030 05:00AM
(4 years from now)
Jan 1, 2030 05:00AM
(4 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 26, 2025 07:31PM
(2 months ago)
Feb 26, 2025 07:31PM
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 7% | -2% | -1% |
| No | 95% | 93% | +2% | +1% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(12 days from now)
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(12 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 20, 2025 11:24PM
(1 month ago)
Mar 20, 2025 11:24PM
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19% | 7% | +12% | -3% |
| No | 81% | 93% | -12% | +3% |