Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 24 | 5 | 27 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Yes
50%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Not likely with all the earnings and new opportunities for Apple for example. At least not for May 2025
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Maybe an external event where the competitors could face huge losts
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Yes
50%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-1%)
Yes
99%
(+1%)
No
It is a definitely no
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-1%)
Yes
99%
(+1%)
No
Totally no
Files