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MoritzLudwig

About:

I am a first-year graduate student at Georgetown's McCourt School of Public Policy, currently enrolled in the MSFS "Forecasting and Policymaking" course.

Star Commenter - Feb 2024

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My First Question

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Forecasted Questions

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 26, 2024 10:37PM UTC
(7 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	64%	21%	+43%	-39%
No	36%	79%	-43%	+39%