I think there was a coup last week
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 3, 2025 12:12AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
85%
Yes
Feb 3, 2025 to Aug 3, 2025
15%
No
Feb 3, 2025 to Aug 3, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
anything is possible
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 13, 2025 12:30AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7%
Yes
Jan 13, 2025 to Jul 13, 2025
93%
No
Jan 13, 2025 to Jul 13, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
they do so frequently
Files
Why might you be wrong?
take a pause with new administration in US
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
Yes
75%
No
They benefit from noncompliance because they are not subject to P5 sanctions under the JCPOA
Files
Why do you think you're right?
possible
Why might you be wrong?
possible