Barring an incredibly unlikely assassination, Putin has already set the machinations of winning his presidential campaign. Boris Nadezhdin was already barred through Kremlin actions, leaving no realistic political opponent in the highly orchestrated Russian elections. Considering his health conscious mentality (flaunting his physical fitness in exercise and his extreme social distancing during Covid), he’s unlikely to have any medical issues. Ultimately, he will not cease to be president before May 1, 2024.
-0.055602
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Why do you think you're right?
Israel is a retributive state and initiated the first infrastructure cyber attack unironically against Iran. With Iran and Hezbollah’s present attacks on Israel to influence the Hamas-Israel war, assuming some sort of conclusion in 2024, Israel will attack Iran’s infrastructure and has supposedly already done so in the past week while still in an active conflict. Add in Iran has messed with a several other Middle Eastern countries, someone is likely to counter. Plus, the U.S. is dealing with many Houthi attacks backed by Iran so a low effort counter is a cyber attack on infrastructure to reduce support and impact.
Why might you be wrong?
The U.S. has taken to sanctions of late for present cyber attacks and it’s unclear how many of the claims by Iran of infrastructure attacks can be verified. They have a history of deflecting or manipulating their claims.