Updating based on time.
-0.295414
Relative Brier Score
66
Forecasts
9
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 66 | 66 | 66 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-5%)
Yes
100%
(+5%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-15%)
Yes
95%
(+15%)
No
Updating based on the escalations
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(-20%)
Yes
80%
(+20%)
No
Updating forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(-40%)
Yes
60%
(+40%)
No
Updating based on more recent reporting.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(+40%)
Yes
20%
(-40%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Bibi is said to support the latest deal.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
Just one so far this year.