If the war in Ukrainian was going to hurt him enough for him to loose presidency, it would have happened already. The war is hurting him and the russian economy is suffuring, but the war is not going bad enough and his hold on Russia is too strong.
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
New Prediction
New Badge
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
Files
There are no new changes big enough to change the calculus areound hte red sea coming, so I doubt it'll happen any time soon.