RS

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-0.020408

Relative Brier Score

1

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0

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Why do you think you're right?
I have not done the research, so this is very much a shoot from the hip kind of thing, but my prior is that the frequency of such attacks are reasonably high, the deniability and non-hotness of such an attack makes it an attractive way of engaging in tit-for-tat during the current round of middle eastern tensions, in addition it can be carried out quite easily by non state actors, and therefore it seems quite likely. 
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Why might you be wrong?

Israel's resources being stretched and U.S. wariness of further escalation in the region could act as a deterrent. 

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