Confirmed previous forecast
0.000151
Relative Brier Score
18
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(0%)
Kharkiv
3%
(0%)
Kyiv
3%
(0%)
Odesa
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
1%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
1%
(0%)
Latvia
1%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Oct 6, 2025
95%
(0%)
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Oct 6, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(0%)
Yes
94%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(0%)
Kharkiv
3%
(0%)
Kyiv
3%
(0%)
Odesa
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
1%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Russian operatives most certainly have the capability, however, it is unlikely that even that wacko Putin would risk direct conflict with NATO.
Why might you be wrong?
As Putin slowly loses his grip on absolute power, rogue hardline elements may seek to test NATO's resolve.