Forecasted Questions
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 19, 2024 03:19AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Aug 19, 2024 03:19AM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | Aug 19, 2024 to Aug 19, 2025 | Nov 19, 2024 | 5% | +20% | +1% |
| No | 75% | Aug 19, 2024 to Aug 19, 2025 | Nov 19, 2024 | 95% | -20% | -1% |