| Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2024 11:02PM | Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 14, 2024 and Sep 30, 2024) | -0.040971 |
| May 1, 2024 04:01AM | Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024? | 0.001247 |