fernando

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0.006839

Relative Brier Score

3

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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 Definitions
New Prediction
fernando
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Mar 20, 2024 07:21PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
60%
Yes
Feb 20, 2024 to Aug 20, 2024
40%
No
Feb 20, 2024 to Aug 20, 2024
Why do you think you're right?

hezbolá ganaría mucho prestigio en el mundo árabe e Israel no tiene capacidad ilimitada frente a ataques de saturación

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Why might you be wrong?

Capacidad militar de hezbola menor de lo que suponemos

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Situación de la política USA en relación a China

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Why might you be wrong?

Cambio radical en la política USA

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New Badge
fernando
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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fernando
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Su entorno político le teme y no parece que vaya a arriesgarse, menos después de ver como acabaron los Wagner

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