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Forecasted Questions

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2024 04:46PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 20% 3%
Kyiv 1% 1%
Odesa 6% 2%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2024 04:48PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 3% 7%
Armenia 1% 2%
Georgia 1% 4%
Kazakhstan 1% 2%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2024 04:49PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 1% 2%
Latvia 1% 1%
Lithuania 1% 2%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2024 04:50PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 3% 1%
No 97% 99%
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