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| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 82 | 82 | 82 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Kharkiv
1%
(0%)
Kyiv
0%
(0%)
Odesa
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 07:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
60%
(+30%)
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Jul 30, 2025
40%
(-30%)
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Jul 30, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Israel launched strike in Beirut in response to Golan Heights attack. The animosities are escalating.
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-launches-strike-in-beirut-in-the-wake-of-golan-heights-attack-fdcddd2d?mod=hp_lead_pos1
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Both sides continue to say they don't want to get into a full-blown war.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-5%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
1%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
I don't believe Russia has the means to open a new war font.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
(0%)
Yes
25%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 21, 2024 03:50PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 21, 2024 to Jun 21, 2025
92%
(0%)
No
Jun 21, 2024 to Jun 21, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
1%
(0%)
Latvia
1%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 21, 2024 03:50PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 21, 2024 to Dec 21, 2024
99%
(0%)
No
Jun 21, 2024 to Dec 21, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Israel attacked a Hezbollah building in Beirut, possibly killing Fuad Shukr, a senior Hezbollah commander.
Iran is accusing Israel of killing Hamas’s political leader Ismail Haniyeh in an strike in Tehran and vows revenge.
https://www.ft.com/content/1bdf959e-3165-49de-925f-cdd45b34fc26
https://www.ft.com/content/4a2e6014-7a53-4138-a04b-1aa0451114b0