0.005792
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?
C2PA has gained significant momentum while I wasn’t paying attention to it. I think broad adoption in the mainstream media will be an eventual necessity, but I think it’s unlikely to happen in the first half of 2024.
Why might you be wrong?
Content provenance of this nature has come a long way from when I first encountered it as an idea kicked around between academics in 2016. It’s possible the magnitude of improvement is more than I realize.